To gain an honest and clear-eyed understanding of the current fiscal, monetary, and political situation, it is necessary to examine the historical context of the current debt crisis. This analysis can provide an important perspective.
One relevant historical period to consider is the Republic of Germany in the period preceding World War II. During this time, an extremist right wing party launched a successful strategy to create chaos in the political environment, leading to hyperinflation, economic instability, and social unrest. They took advantage of the economic turmoil to gain power, leading to the rise of a fascist regime that caused immense harm and destruction. Other factors, such as Germany's defeat in World War I, the Treaty of Versailles, and widespread disillusionment with the political establishment, also played a role.
It is important to consider the contemporary political landscape, including the actions and policies of political leaders and parties, and the broader social and cultural trends that have shaped the political climate. The events of January 6th, 2021, were a serious threat to American democracy, and former President Trump's rhetoric and actions leading up to the event have been recognized as a contributing factor. Additionally, the previous administration's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as the former President's dissemination of misinformation and conspiracy theories, have been widely criticized.
Given the successful interference in the 2016 election by a foreign government, documented by US intelligence agencies, and the fact that the former President told 30,000 confirmed mistruths during his presidency while continuing to receive maximum support from his political party, it is reasonable to question the GOP's motives and actions.
This is further supported by the fact that several GOP nominated and confirmed Supreme Court justices have severe and damaging conflicts of interest or ethical concerns. For example, Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas accepted gifts and luxury travel for years from GOP megadonor Harlan Crow without disclosing it as federal law requires. Justice Neil Gorsuch sold real estate to the head of a law firm with business before the court, and members of the family of Chief Justice Roberts earned more than $10 million matching attorneys, some of which have had cases before the Supreme Court, with law firms.
Given these facts, it is fair to consider the possibility that the GOP may be intentionally seeking an American debt default, and it is fair to draw comparisons to Weimar. In point of fact, now that the pro-default strategy has been made public* by the current head of the party, expect the GOP to claim that it is Democrats who are seeking default. This is, of course, untrue, contradicted by both the timeline and objective data. Such a claim is, however, consistent with the increasingly immature, irresponsible and partisan positions of GOP House members. Note that our analysis relies on credible evidence and utilizes objectivity and nuance, rather than unsupported claims or overly simplistic conclusions.
By approaching economic analysis with critical thinking and careful, fact-based observation, we can contribute to a more informed and constructive public discourse.
Ultimately, it is crucial to recognize the potential consequences of economic chaos and instability and the need for responsible governance and decision-making to ensure the long-term health and stability of the economy.
*NOTE: This article was published on May 7, 2023. On May 10th, this analysis was confirmed by former President Donald Trump, leader of the GOP, who urged Republican lawmakers to let the United States default on its debt.