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Inflation

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UPDATED #INFLATION ANALYSIS - We note the Biden Administration now expects consumer prices to rise 4.8% in the fourth quarter of 2021. This follows July's 5.4% increase in consumer prices in advance of the Fed’s Jackson Hole conference. Our analysis suggests that the inflation spike is due to fear and greed-based labor and supply chain disruptions resulting from the unprecedented and ongoing COVID crisis. Thus, price increases are to be expected. The current pandemic is not fully comparable to earlier ones, given technology's role in facilitating the highly integrated nature of the global economy and the decline in ethical standards of business behavior, as evidenced by the prior occupant of the White House. The Fed is right to focus on inequality, now the greater risk, than it is on protecting the financial standing of a small group of mainly non-minority individuals and institutions. Given the above, we suggest the central bank modify monetary policy to resist price increase