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May 2025 Personal Income & Outlays Report: Impact on Black-owned and Minority Businesses

📉 Main Takeaways from May 2025 Personal income dropped by $109.6 billion (−0.4%) , driven mainly by lower government social benefits and a decline in farm proprietors’ income. ( bea.gov ). Disposable personal income fell by 0.6% , while consumer spending edged down 0.1% . Government transfers (e.g., Social Security, SNAP, Medicaid) fell —impacting individuals who depend heavily on them . ⚠️ Potential Impacts on Black & Minority Businesses 1. Thinner Consumer Wallets Black and minority entrepreneurs often serve communities where residents rely more on government benefits. A reduction in transfers and disposable income means: Lower foot traffic at local shops Fewer discretionary purchases on services like haircare, dining, or childcare 2. Slower Spending on Goods Goods spending dropped by $49.2 billion (services rose slightly), suggesting discretionary goods—key revenue for many minority-owned retailers—are getting squeezed. 3. Supplemental Income Drop ...
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Semiannual Monetary Policy Hearing. Gabriel Philipp, Connor Stout, Dylan Unruh, and Rohan Sivakumar

Chairman Powell, center. Connor Stout, right, front row in white shirt. Federal Reserve Board Chairman Powell’s opening remarks addressed the state of the economy, which he said was “solid”.  He reiterated the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate to ensure price stability (inflation control) and maintain near-full employment. To this end, Mr. Powell said that, currently, inflation remains a non-issue, and the labor market is near maximum employment. Furthermore, the Chair attributed strong Q1 figures to ‘front-loading’ – increases in imports and consumption in preparation for potential price shocks due to tariffs. Mr. Powell stood by the Fed’s decision to hold rates steady earlier this month and noted that the Federal Reserve will act largely based on the impacts of tariffs, noting the lag between the instatement of a tariff and when its effects become observable (as early as Q3).  For the moment, the economy is in a good place, and the risk of recession is perhaps overstated. Howe...

Gallery of Art Philosophical Discussion: Gabriel Philipp, Siena College.

CIR Interns at the Gallery of Art. Rohan Sivakumar (Left), Connor Stout (Middle), Gabriel Philipp (Right). Viewing  Breezing Up (A Fair Wind) by Winslow Homer, 1873-76. On June 21, 2025, CIR Interns Rohan Sivakumar (University of Chicago), Connor Stout (Denison University Ohio) and I, Gabriel Philipp (Siena College) attended a philosophical discussion on friendship at the National Gallery of Art. The event was organized by Mr. Juan Carlos as part of the “Philosophy Explained Through Art” series. It drew a large and diverse crowd, with attendees from various backgrounds bringing different perspectives on both philosophy and the art tied to the theme of friendship. The main goal was to reflect on and discuss the nature of friendship, ultimately asking: What does it mean to be a friend, and what defines a best friend? What is Friendship?  CIR Interns at the Gallery of Art. Gabriel Philipp (Left), Rohan Sivakumar (Middle), Connor Stout (Right)  There was an en...

Juneteenth. Adam Zakman University of California – Davis

The stress of cooking and finding enough chairs for Thanksgiving dinner, the fun of watching fireworks on Independence Day, finding a parking spot at the mall the week before Christmas, dealing with annoying relatives: activities and experiences that dominate our attention and define every holiday. People get so caught up in the rituals and minutiae of holidays that they lose sight of what they are celebrating. As much as holidays are a celebration of an event or person, they are, more fundamentally, a call for the remembrance of the virtues symbolized by those people and events. Christmas is not about who has the most valuable present waiting for them under the tree. Independence Day does not stand as an anti-British holiday. Thanksgiving certainly does not celebrate the history of European and Native American relations. They celebrate some of the foundational pillars of virtue our country rests upon: the generosity and the privilege of having enough to give, the proclamation of, and ...

Environmental Justice Summit at Howard University. Gabriel Philipp, Siena College.

Environmental Justice Summit Panel #3 with Tracey Thompson, Dennis Chestnut, Dr. Estelle-Marie Montgomery, Latricea Adams, Erica Green, and Tobaris Smith On June 17, the Greater Washington Region Clean Cities Coalition (GWRCCC) hosted an Environmental Justice Summit at Howard University. The event featured a series of panels offering diverse perspectives on urban environmental challenges, like heat islands, poor air quality, health impacts from pollution, and energy development, along with potential solutions to improve community well-being. What’s up with the environment?  A few key points stood out from the event, especially the strong focus on advocacy in its many forms. Speakers emphasized the power of community organizing, grassroots efforts, and public education to raise awareness about environmental challenges. There was a recurring theme of unity, bringing people together to talk about shared experiences, build networks, and push for change. The idea was that strength in nu...

What the AWS AI Expo Revealed About Our Tech Future. Gabriel Philipp, Siena College.

Last week, (6/10 and 11) Amazon Web Services (AWS) hosted its AI Expo (AWS Summit Washington, DC - Generative AI solutions) where top tech companies demonstrated how artificial intelligence is rapidly reshaping industries. From data organization and legacy code transformation to complex scientific modeling, each firm offered a unique glimpse into how AI is being applied today—and where it might lead us tomorrow. Nvidia had one of the more interesting demos; they're using multiple AI models to handle specific tasks with existing research and data. One example: their software took a set of medical research notes and built a scale model of a protein. IBM showed off a system that updates outdated code to work on modern platforms. Datadog is using AI to boost how it collects and organizes data from websites. Other companies are also finding creative ways to use AI for software protection, data analysis, and development. Takeaway:  With AI’s rapid development, it’s exciting to imagine th...

May 2025 PPI Overview: What This Means for Black & Minority-Owned Businesses

  📊 May 2025 PPI Overview The PPI for final demand rose 0.1% in May, following a flat reading in April and a 0.2% rise in February.  https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.nr0.htm On a year‑over‑year basis, producer prices increased 2.6% , up slightly from 2.5% in April. The modest monthly gain was driven by a 0.1% increase in final demand services (led by trade margins) and a 0.2% rise in goods prices , while energy remained flat. Excluding volatile categories like food, energy, and trade services, core PPI rose 0.1% in May and 2.7% over the past year. What This Means for Black & Minority-Owned Businesses 1. Trade Services (Retail & Wholesale) 0.4% increase in trade margins squeezed small retailers and wholesalers. Impact: Black and Hispanic-owned firms face higher sourcing costs—further limiting their ability to absorb or pass along price increases. 2. Goods Sector (Food, Metals, Energy) Final demand goods edged up 0.2%, driven by non-...