Showing posts with label 2020. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2020. Show all posts

Saturday, October 12, 2019

Fully Adjusted Return Economic Forecast for 2020

We are pleased to present our 2020 economic forecast incorporating social factors (Fully Adjusted Return). Tickets can be obtained at: https://econforecast2020.eventbrite.com

We have a track record of issuing unusually accurate economic forecasts:

In October 1998, in a petition to the Federal Reserve and the US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit (Case Number 98-1459), Mr. Cunningham forecast the financial crisis that occured ten years later. (See: https://www.creativeinvest.com/OppositionToCitigroupTravelersMerger.pdf )

On June 15, 2000, we testified before the House Financial Services Committee and warned that ethical issues at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would led to their failure.

On December 22, 2003, our economic forecasting models signaled the probability of system-wide economic and market failure. See page 6: http://www.sec.gov/rules/proposed/s71903/wmccir122203.pdf

As we noted on Oct. 5, 2006, forecasting the development of cryptocurrencies: "competitive advantage with respect to capital access is available to any country with significant economic potential and a modest telecommunications infrastructure." https://www.sec.gov/comments/4-526/4526-1.pdf

A review of our Texas Black Economic Forecasts can be found at: https://youtu.be/fSGje7OaLpk

We discuss economic indicators for 2020 in light of critical risk factors.

1. International instability.
2. Domestic social and cultural instability.
3. US Policy: We describe the unintended consequences from the impeachment effort in the House.
4. Technology and large financial institutions.
5. Environmental factors/issues.
6. Libra, Bitcoin and digital currencies.
7. Investment Market Forecast.

Since these risks are not evenly distributed. we detail which business sectors and geographies will be safer (and thus more profitable) than others. We also discuss where to look for positive factors in certain American political institutions and commercial entities. Finally, we discuss timing and synchronicity.

(Our June 11, 2016 Fully Adjusted Return Election Forecast, which correctly predicted Donald Trump's win, can be found at: http://twisri.blogspot.com/2016/06/why-trump-will-win.html)
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Everybody has an opinion. We have a track record.