On July 25, 2024, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released the first estimate for Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Q2 2024 and GDP by industry. These indicators provide critical insights into overall US economic health and have significant implications for minority-owned businesses.
GDP Growth and Minority Firms: The estimate for GDP in Q2 2024 indicates a growth rate of 2.8%. This is a good sign, suggesting the economy is expanding at a faster clip than most economists expected. For minority-owned businesses, higher economic growth should lead to greater availability of credit and investment opportunities, vital for the sustainability of minority enterprises. Still, the benefits of this growth is not equitably distributed. Minority-owned businesses face increased competition without proportional access to the resources needed to compete effectively.
Industry-Specific Insights: Industry data for Q2 2024 reveals sector-specific performance that is crucial for understanding the landscape for minority-owned businesses. According to the data:
- Consumer Spending showed increases in services and goods, which should bode well for minority firms.
- Health Care also demonstrated strong performance. This sector is critical for minority employment and ownership, with high percentages of minority employment. Growth in health care should also mean significant positive momentum for Black firms, given their overrepresentation in this space.
- In the Goods sectors, strong contributions were observed in motor vehicles and parts, recreational goods and vehicles, furnishings and durable household equipment, and gasoline and other energy goods. Apart from the last sector, these should support strong minority business activity.
- The increase in private inventory investment reflected increases in wholesale trade and retail trade industries. Retail Trade represents 38% of minority employer firms, highlighting its importance to minority communities.