Unemployment rates rose for most groups in August, and our forecast suggests the same trend is likely to continue into September. The numbers are small—but they point to deeper structural issues in the labor market, especially for women of color. What We Saw in August According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), unemployment increased across nearly all groups in August 2025. Black women, Hispanic men, and Hispanic women experienced some of the sharpest increases. The only exception was Asian workers, whose unemployment rate declined. This broad uptick suggests momentum that is unlikely to reverse in the short term. Forecast for September 2025 (Seasonally Adjusted, %) Black Women (20+) : 6.7% in August → 6.9% in September ( higher ) Hispanic/Latina Women (20+) : 4.9% in August → 5.0% in September ( slightly higher ) White Men (20+) : 3.7% in August → 3.8% in September ( flat to slightly higher ) Overall (20+ years) : 4.2% in August → 4.3% in September ( slightly...
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