The Trump-backed House Budget Reconciliation Bill, labeled in the graphic as “The Big Beautiful Bill,” dramatically shifts after-tax-and-transfer income in ways that disproportionately harm lower-income Americans — particularly Black Americans, who are overrepresented in the bottom two quintiles due to systemic racial economic disparities. Key Takeaways from the Penn Wharton Budget Model (as of May 20, 2025): 1. Regressive Distributional Impact The bottom 20% (1st quintile) earning $0–$17,000 will see a 13.6% drop in after-tax-and-transfer income, averaging a loss of $940 per person. The second quintile ($17,000–$51,000) sees a 1.3% decline , averaging a loss of $580 . In contrast, the top 1% (incomes above $4.3 million) will gain $390,310 on average , a 3.1% increase . This signals a stark upward redistribution of wealth — a tax-and-transfer policy that cuts benefits and redistributes gains to the wealthy. Impact on Black Americans Black households are dispropor...
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