The BEA’s December 5 2025 release reports the following for September: Personal income rose 0.4% vs August; disposable personal income (after taxes) rose 0.3%. Consumers spent more: current-dollar personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased 0.3%. But “real” PCE (adjusted for inflation) was essentially flat. The PCE Price Index — the broad inflation gauge for consumer goods and services — increased 0.3% month-over-month . On a 12-month basis, the PCE Price Index rose 2.8% . Excluding volatile food and energy categories (the “core” measure), prices also rose 0.2% month-over-month and about 2.8% year-over-year. In short: while incomes and nominal spending ticked up, inflation remains noticeable — pushing up costs for households and consumers. Inflation + Income: What That Means for Black & Minority-Owned Firms Because inflation directly affects the cost of goods, inputs, and consumers’ purchasing power, the rising PCE index has important imp...
November 2025 (September data) Producer Price Index (PPI): Implications for Black and Minority Firms
The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the average change over time in the selling prices that domestic producers receive for their output. According to the most recent release from the BLS, the PPI for “final demand” increased by 0.3 percent in September 2025 (seasonally adjusted). On a 12-month basis, it rose 2.7 percent . For goods alone (final demand goods), the increase was 0.9 percent for the month, largely driven by increases in goods such as gasoline (11.8 percent) and energy (3.5 percent). Services prices (final demand services) in that month were unchanged. ( Bureau of Labor Statistics ) Why should a minority-business owner care? Because PPI signals upstream cost pressures in the economy. Businesses that purchase inputs — raw materials, intermediate goods, energy, transportation — may face rising costs. And smaller or minority entrepreneurs often have less pricing power, smaller margins, less buffer to absorb cost increases. Key Implications for Black & Min...