July 2025 Producer Price Index Summary Analysis The Producer Price Index (PPI) for Final Demand jumped 0.9% in July , marking the largest single-month increase since mid-2022. On a year-over-year basis, PPI rose 3.3% , indicating sustained producer-side inflation. Core PPI (excluding food, energy, and trade services) mirrored this climb with a +0.6% monthly and +2.8% annual gain—the steepest in over three years. The spike was driven by final demand services (+1.1%) —along with price pressures in machinery wholesaling (+3.8%) , transportation, and accommodations. Final demand goods increased by 0.7% , largely due to surging food prices—particularly fresh and dry vegetables (+38.9%), meats, diesel, jet fuel, and eggs. Structural Cost Shift: What It Means for Minority-Owned Businesses A structural cost shift occurs when inflation disproportionately rises in essential sectors disproportionately impacting marginalized groups—while headline inflation may appea...
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% in July , keeping the annual inflation rate at 2.7% . Core inflation—excluding food and energy—remained elevated at 3.1% , the highest since February 2025. To many Black and minority-owned businesses , the numbers hide a troubling reality: inflation is shifting to the essentials, creating what economists call a structural cost shift —and that shift is hitting communities of color hardest. What is a Structural Cost Shift? A structural cost shift occurs when prices in essential categories rise faster than the overall inflation rate, while other goods remain flat or fall. This makes the headline CPI appear modest, even as the cost of living and doing business increases sharply for those who rely most on these essentials. For minority households and firms, the essentials are: Housing & rent Utilities & energy Food & groceries Transportation Healthcare When these categorie...